The third and final opinion poll, held yesterday, reveals that the Bogdanoff Orbital Government candidate Asghar Reza and Northern League candidate Shady Morsi are neck and neck.
This poll shows that BOG's Reza is rising in popularity and is beginning to rival Morsi. Prior to the withdrawal of Hasan Çakar from the presidential race, BOG and Reza were expected to be another minor party that would not make anything meaningful gains in the upcoming elections except winning one legislative seat. However, Reza has recently seemed to earn the support of many of the former Pavlovian establishment in Hasanistan and this could be instrumental in him becoming the first president of post-Pavlovian Hasanistan.
The poll has also shown the weakness of the Progressive Party and Tanju Çakar's campaign. The former president, who has ran this election on a Posadist campaign, has faced criticism from his election rivals for not accepting Shady Morsi's challenge of a debate. He is expected to lose the election by most external observers.
The presidential election will be held in four days and expectations are high among all candidates and their supporters. If the results of the poll do in fact represent the electorate on the day of the election, although this is unlikely and polls should not be considered full truth due to their smaller sample sizes, and Reza and Morsi do tie then the election will be decided by the voter's second preference votes. The results of the legislative and gubernatorial elections will be released two days after the presidential election and the new president will select his cabinet on the following day.
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| Graph showing opinion polling prior to the election |
The poll has also shown the weakness of the Progressive Party and Tanju Çakar's campaign. The former president, who has ran this election on a Posadist campaign, has faced criticism from his election rivals for not accepting Shady Morsi's challenge of a debate. He is expected to lose the election by most external observers.
The presidential election will be held in four days and expectations are high among all candidates and their supporters. If the results of the poll do in fact represent the electorate on the day of the election, although this is unlikely and polls should not be considered full truth due to their smaller sample sizes, and Reza and Morsi do tie then the election will be decided by the voter's second preference votes. The results of the legislative and gubernatorial elections will be released two days after the presidential election and the new president will select his cabinet on the following day.
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